It’s February already, crazy how time flies. The kids are back at school and Australia is getting back to business. It’s still not business as usual, but with the vaccine rollout about to begin, there is a growing sense of optimism.
There was a sense of relief on the global economic front in January as Joe Biden was sworn in as US President. Financial markets rallied on expectations of more US government fiscal stimulus and a stronger focus on containing the COVID-19 health crisis. There were also positive economic signs from our other major trading partner, China where a V-shaped recovery is underway. China’s economy grew by 2.3% in 2020, the best performance of any major economy even though it was China’s slowest growth since 1976.
In Australia, there are also signs of a cautious economic recovery. Consumer confidence hit a 14-month high in January, due to our success in dealing with the pandemic and supporting jobs. The ANZ-Roy Morgan consumer confidence rating hit 111.2 points, just below its long-term average of 112.6. Unemployment fell from 6.8% to 6.6% in December, a time when businesses typically hire casual staff for the Christmas-summer holiday rush. Retail trade fell 4.2% in December but was still up 9.4% over the year. Inflation remains weak, with the consumer price index (CPI) up 0.9% in the December quarter and also up 0.9% in 2020 overall. The exception is house prices, up 3% in 2020. This was reflected in the value of new home loans which rose 5.6% in November due to record low interest rates and government policy initiatives. The Aussie dollar finished the month slightly lower at US76c.
At Centaur we have welcomed Bobby Byrne into the team who is fitting in great, and you will get to meet him in time. We also have starting this week Kelly Doughty who will give me some much-needed assistance on the non-advice related activities of the business.
We have also received the feedback from the Client Satisfaction Survey and thank you for everyone who completed this. We will work hard through every comment and recommendation to ensure that we are providing the highest level of service, quality and advice and investment solutions for you, and will update you with the actions we will take to implement them. This survey is usually done by the top 20% of advice businesses and there are 9 categories to be assessed against. We are very proud that we scored in the top quartile on each of the 9 categories, very proud – but anyone who knows our team knows that we want to provide the best level of service and we will continue to invest in the business to give you an even better experience with Centaur.