How political events affect the markets
March 6, 2025
From the economy bending policies of Trump 2.0 to the growing strength of the far right in Europe, the new alliance between Russia and the United States, the wars in Ukraine and the Middle East, and the US President’s vow to upturn world trade rules, the markets are certainly navigating tricky times. In recent months…
Market Movements and Economic Review | February 2025
February 7, 2025
Stay up to date with what’s happened in the Australian economy and markets over the past month. Headline inflation eased more than expected during the last three months of 2024 – opening the door for the RBA to cut the cash rate. While the release of China-based DeepSeek’s new cut-price AI model sent shockwaves through…
Navigating turbulent times in the share market
February 7, 2025
As investors grapple with uncertainty, keeping a cool head has never been more important. “Time in the market, not timing the market” is a popular investment philosophy that emphasises the importance of staying invested over the long term rather than trying to predict short-term market movements. While markets can be volatile in the short term,…
Market Movements and Economic Review | December 2024
December 16, 2024
Stay up to date with what’s happened in the Australian economy and markets over the past month. While headline inflation eased to 2.8% in the September quarter, the RBA appears cautious on interest rates. The RBA Governor stated that Australia’s core inflation remains too elevated to justify interest rate cuts in the near term. The…
Market Movements and Economic Review | November 2024
November 18, 2024
Stay up to date with what’s happened in the Australian economy and markets over the past month. Welcome news on the inflation front in October pointed to the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) holding steady on rates this month. The latest quarterly inflation figures show inflation has slowed to its lowest level since the height…
Market Movements and Economic Review | October 2024
October 1, 2024
Stay up to date with what’s happened in the Australian economy and markets over the past month. Interest rate speculation is rife after the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) kept rates on hold at 4.35% last month. RBA Governor Michelle Bullock believes it may be “some time” before inflation is “sustainably in the target range”,…
Market Movements and Economic Review | September 2024
September 2, 2024
Stay up to date with what’s happened in markets and the Australian economy over the past month. Global stock markets – including the ASX – largely stabilised by the end of August after a turbulent month. It was a rocky start when markets everywhere fell after news of high unemployment figures in the US and…
Quarterly Economic & Market Update – June 2024 | Vanguard
August 14, 2024
Our good friends at Vanguard have shared with us their latest Quarterly Economic and Market Update for June 2024. This Quarterly Economic and Market Update covers: To download the Quarterly Economic & Market Update – June 2024 | Vanguard – click here.
Market Movements and Economic Review | August 2024
August 1, 2024
Stay up to date with what’s happened in markets and the Australian economy over the past month. While the anxiously awaited release of the latest inflation data at the end of July, showed an increase, it was in line with economists’ predictions. Given the RBA wants inflation back within a 2-3% target range by the…
Our investment and economic outlook, July 2024
August 1, 2024
Our region-by-region economic outlook and latest forecasts for investment returns. A labour market indicator that has reliably signaled the start of recession could appear in coming months. The Sahm rule (named after the former Federal Reserve economist who identified it) is triggered when the unemployment rate spikes, with its three-month moving average jumping half a…
Market Movements and Economic Review | July 2024
July 4, 2024
Stay up to date with what’s happened in markets and the Australian economy over the past month. Despite some signs of a weakening economy with stalling growth and a softening labour market, persistently high inflation is acting as a roadblock to the RBA’s possible rate cuts. Markets have now priced in a risk that the…
Investment and economic outlook, May 2024 | Vanguard
June 10, 2024
Vanguard has provided a region-by-region economic outlook and latest forecasts for investment returns. For the last decade-plus, a lack of both automation and new general-purpose technologies (GPTs) have weighed on U.S. economic growth. But new Vanguard research suggests that artificial intelligence (AI) will prove to be the next GPT, powering above-trend growth. Our forthcoming Megatrends…
Market Movements & Economic Review – June 2024
June 4, 2024
Stay up to date with what’s happened in markets and the Australian economy over the past month. The run of stronger-than-expected domestic inflation figures continued in May. The higher-than-expected inflation figures saw Australian shares tumble after reaching a welcome high mid-month. The ASX200 finished the month on a positive note, slightly higher for the month…
Market Movements & Economic Review – May 2024
May 1, 2024
Stay up to date with what’s happened in markets and the Australian economy over the past month. As eyes turn to the 2024-25 Federal Budget, stronger-than-expected domestic inflation was recorded for April. The markets have been subdued due to geopolitical instability and uncertainty around cash rates both in Australia and the US. The S&P/ASX 200…
Market Movements and Economic Review | April 2024
April 5, 2024
Stay up to date with what’s happened in markets and the Australian economy over the past month. Expectations of interest rate cuts later this year in Australia and the United States fuelled activity in the markets last month. Australian shares reached a new record high at the end of the month, driven by mining shares…
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